Now before we get all political, let me
make a few points: capitalism has done some pretty good things. It's
gotten us where we are today, roughly, but it has developed mankind
at a huge rate since the Industrial Revolution. The corporation model
has provided vast amounts of resources so that aspiring academics
could develop many of the great technologies we have today, either by
hiring scientists, engineers, developers, etc; or by creating the
economic basis by which our government was able to support such
research, take NASA for example.
However, capitalism has its dark sides
as well. As an entity that focuses more on profit than progress, the
development it has created has also been hindered by the same model
as competition stifles cooperation amongst researchers. Also, the
profiteering model is a very clear breeding grounds for corruption,
and companies will go to great lengths to protect their markets from
revolutionary designs that will be more ethical but challenge their
positions at the top. A particularly gruesome example of this is
when some major medical company attempted, and thankfully failed, to
copyright strings of human DNA that could be used for research to
fight disease.
So capitalism has some good, mainly in
that we needed it to get this
far, past tense. But the playing field is changing now. We live in a
world where kids can build nuclear reactors in their garages, and the
dissemination of technology and information is only increasing
exponentially. We live currently on the brink of 3D printing
technology, which in the next decade might be so accurate as to reach
the molecular level. That's the technology I want to talk about
today.
There
are a few methods of molecular level 3D printing in the works today.
Photografting is one, which uses lasers that carve away at a
hydrogel. Another, molecular manufacturing, is talked about quite
nicely in Mark Stevenson's book, an Optimist's Tour of the Future, which I discussed in my
previous blog post. One engineer by the name of Kim Eric Drexler
predicts we will one day, very soon, have desktop sized printers with
the ability to print objects on this scale. The feedstock used would
be unfathomably cheap, he predicts, and the technology (which could
reproduce itself) will lead not just to the end of industrial
manufacturing, but to capitalism in general. (More information on
Drexler's theories can be found in his book, Engines of Creation, which I haven't read
quite yet, but I figured I'd mention it.)
What
that means and how it works and what that would lead to and what it
would need for humanity to survive are all important key factors.
Firstly, I'll say that it won't be some crazy dystopian apocalypse
that ruins mankind nor leads to our destruction. We existed far
before capitalism, and we will continue to exist after it. What I
believe to be unavoidable as this technology develops and improves is
that eventually it will become commonplace, as Drexler describes, and
it will change things, and we'd better figure out how to compensate.
At the rate technology develops, it will only be a matter of time
before we don't even need to purchase feedstock, but we'll be able to
poor in sand or dirt or any matter in general. Technically, nothing
in physics prevent us from converting the energy we supply it with
directly into matter. Of course this will take a lot of effort to
design such a device, but I doubt it'll take so much time. Somebody,
eventually, will do it. And of the people that figure it out, someone
will share it with the world.
In fact, one company is already starting up to make this all a reality, minus the
energy to matter conversion bit. With the ability to manipulate atoms
as you see fit, and with accuracy, you can make anything at home.
People upload designs to the internet, many of them will most likely
be free, and next thing you know you're printing your food, solar
panels to power your home, your own antennae for internet
connections, bigger (or pragmatically, smaller) and better computers
to act as your own servers. Textbooks, CDs, instruments, games,
clothes, medicine, weapons, money. Every industry would become
irrelevant, because finally people's creativity would no longer be
hindered by high start-up costs or corporate corruption. We'd all be
out of a job, which means quite a few things. Hopefully by this point
we've advanced 3D molecular printing beyond the need for feedstock
and any ol' matter will do, at least something that can be narrowed
down to a few basic and widely available molecules.
How would the fall
of corporations affect security? Would people go nuts and start
raiding each other? Possibly, depending on the state of security at
the time, which depends a lot on the reputation of the government.
Without monetary motive, since people could get any material thing
they want anyway, any military will have to be comprised of members
who actually believe in the security of the people and are willing to
sacrifice their well being to achieve that. With population on the
rise, there should in theory be enough individuals of such a mindset,
and already our technological advancements have lead to a much
smaller yet more effective military, at least in America, to make an
adequate security force feasible.
But more
importantly, to make this work, a change in culture would be needed.
Already the world is becoming more tolerant, but there remains a lot
of hyper-conservatives (or fundamentalists, if you prefer) who refuse to accept other people's lifestyles. If
the trend continues, though, eventually a standard code of ethics
will emerge, at least one that will prevent us from hurting, maiming,
torturing, or killing each other for long enough to figure out all
the details. Plus, thankfully, people tend to be a lot happier when
they're not suffering from hunger or money problems.
I've mentioned
money now a few times. When I do so in reference to 3D printing, I
don't mean to say, “oh everyone can print all the money they need
and buy whatever they want now!” Sadly economics is a bit more
complicated. What I do mean is that when you can convert matter into
any material possession you desire, money kind of becomes irrelevant.
Let's look back up
at the security model I briefly mentioned, where the organization
will be compiled of people who actually want to do their job. That's
an astounding model. Imagine if people only worked in jobs they
wanted. However, that leaves a lot of gaps. Sure, some people are
attracted to the simplistic lifestyle of say, janitorial work, and
that's great. But would it be enough people to provide for a large,
growing population? Probably not. But why not? Why don't people on a
wide scale love sanitation services like thousands of people love
engineering or doctoring? I'll dare to predict, it's because there's
not a lot of mental stimulation. Not to say there aren't many a great
thing to learn about the job, I'd probably suck at taking out
everyone's trash due to lack of knowledge alone, but it's nothing on
the scale of astrophysics or, pardon the cliché, rocket science.
People like to apply the knowledge we have, in changing environments,
not all people, but most find repetition daunting, whereas others
find comfort in it. That's a problem with society is that we demand
more repetitious jobs than we do mentally stimulating ones. It's
inaccurate with the ratio of people who would prefer, and thus excel at, those types of jobs.
Remember, 3D
printing won't be the only technology advancing at once. Robotics is
a crazy fast paced field of study right now. It won't be long
before robots can move and function in other jobs like they do now in car
manufacturing. I'll make another prediction: that very soon robots
will be able to supplement labor for tasks that aren't as mentally
challenging, simply because what makes those tasks not mentally
challenging is what defines them as simple enough for robots to
quickly be programmed take over.
This again will
free people to do anything they want. Once things like food, housing,
welfare, and education are all provided, we can again bring meaning
back to arts, philosophies, science for the sake of science, not for
the sake of what can you sell out to the biggest companies. We can
have another golden age, except unlike that of ancient Greece, ours
won't be built on an economy built on slave labor. (Correct me if I'm
wrong, I'm no historian.)
Once more, I want
to bring up that security model, mainly for one reason. No matter how
much we as humanity develop our universal code of ethics, there will
be people who think differently. And that's a good thing, diversity
is the seed that grows into a free and productive society, it's
essential so that we can support the ethics we discover. What becomes
a problem is when people take matters to extremes, when they believe
their ideology is worth more than the life of another human being.
When a human resorts to terrorism, or otherwise causes mayhem or suffering to spur
a cause, that's the line that shouldn't be crossed. And in a world
free to discuss the philosophies of mankind, it's, initially,
inevitable that terror groups will form. This is where the necessity
for an adequate security force is needed. (Not to mention things like
disaster relief, fire protection, medical aid, etc; you know, all of
today's real heroes.) How different will the model be?
Will government
still exist? If economy as a model for society falters, will there be
enough people willing to work in government, let alone will people be
able to vote them in. Once we don't have mainstream media to pick our
candidates for us, and again hopefully by this point people will have
the time to actually research politicians, and analyze them without
bias, and we have a standard of ethics and the means to produce the
things we need to reduce a lot of the political cannon fodder our
government distracts itself with today, will we even need government?
Or will people just make things happen, having been freed from the
restrictions of a dominant labor system? This opens up an eerily rustic can of
worms labeled anarchy!
A can of worms I'm
going to put a lid on for now. I don't like the sound of it, nor do I
wish to advocate it, but it might be a model we end up following.
What I really wish for is that our government changes form, drive,
substance, and flexibility to adapt to the world that's coming soon
to a planet near you. Maybe less the model of old men arguing over
things that either don't matter or should be obvious, and more of a
large group of people striving towards a common goal in a productive
and progressive manner. Maybe we won't need to elect our officials,
but we will choose them, in that the people who make the most sense or
do better things are generally listened to more, and can actually
lead more people into doing the right thing, instead of coercing the
masses through media and monetary manipulation.
Thank you.
As always, my board
is open fully for discussion. I don't claim to be right about
everything I say, so if you disagree I want to hear why. Or if you
enjoyed reading, I'd like to hear that too. To all my readers, many
thanks, and I hope to entertain you again soon.
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